Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:45 AM, 193 voters in 26 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 185,727 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 142,708 - 227,000). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 11:45 AM 2554 c(2.5% = 2179) c(97.5% = 2760)
02 11:45 AM 4230 c(2.5% = 3620) c(97.5% = 4509)
03 11:45 AM 2363 c(2.5% = 1785) c(97.5% = 2923)
04 11:45 AM 2368 c(2.5% = 1752) c(97.5% = 3045)
05 11:45 AM 6250 c(2.5% = 5028) c(97.5% = 6771)
06 11:45 AM 1599 c(2.5% = 1270) c(97.5% = 1955)
07 11:45 AM 1599 c(2.5% = 766) c(97.5% = 2609)
08 11:45 AM 5747 c(2.5% = 4820) c(97.5% = 6303)
09 11:45 AM 2735 c(2.5% = 2336) c(97.5% = 3118)
10 11:45 AM 3419 c(2.5% = 2694) c(97.5% = 4198)
11 11:45 AM 1502 c(2.5% = 1094) c(97.5% = 1968)
12 11:45 AM 2589 c(2.5% = 1973) c(97.5% = 3251)
13 11:45 AM 2332 c(2.5% = 1749) c(97.5% = 2974)
14 11:45 AM 1031 c(2.5% = 832) c(97.5% = 1232)
15 11:45 AM 3008 c(2.5% = 2583) c(97.5% = 3411)
16 11:45 AM 1261 c(2.5% = 871) c(97.5% = 1701)
17 11:45 AM 2863 c(2.5% = 2143) c(97.5% = 3601)
18 11:45 AM 2557 c(2.5% = 1967) c(97.5% = 2945)
19 11:45 AM 1188 c(2.5% = 673) c(97.5% = 1806)
20 11:45 AM 1186 c(2.5% = 760) c(97.5% = 1607)
21 11:45 AM 6789 c(2.5% = 5218) c(97.5% = 8114)
22 11:45 AM 3645 c(2.5% = 3116) c(97.5% = 4136)
23 11:45 AM 2199 c(2.5% = 1483) c(97.5% = 2849)
24 11:45 AM 1870 c(2.5% = 1313) c(97.5% = 2315)
25 11:45 AM 1826 c(2.5% = 1127) c(97.5% = 2391)
26 11:45 AM 2601 c(2.5% = 1995) c(97.5% = 3051)
27 11:45 AM 3423 c(2.5% = 2100) c(97.5% = 4136)
28 11:45 AM 1339 c(2.5% = 934) c(97.5% = 1804)
29 11:45 AM 1347 c(2.5% = 1066) c(97.5% = 1632)
30 11:45 AM 2700 c(2.5% = 2375) c(97.5% = 2946)
31 11:45 AM 2290 c(2.5% = 1792) c(97.5% = 2487)
32 11:45 AM 2233 c(2.5% = 1543) c(97.5% = 2985)
33 11:45 AM 1884 c(2.5% = 957) c(97.5% = 2862)
34 11:45 AM 4914 c(2.5% = 3927) c(97.5% = 5936)
35 11:45 AM 3362 c(2.5% = 2178) c(97.5% = 4352)
36 11:45 AM 4023 c(2.5% = 3259) c(97.5% = 4760)
37 11:45 AM 1438 c(2.5% = 965) c(97.5% = 1968)
38 11:45 AM 2468 c(2.5% = 1989) c(97.5% = 2944)
39 11:45 AM 5014 c(2.5% = 3796) c(97.5% = 5866)
40 11:45 AM 5141 c(2.5% = 3703) c(97.5% = 6433)
41 11:45 AM 2028 c(2.5% = 1233) c(97.5% = 2691)
42 11:45 AM 2584 c(2.5% = 1605) c(97.5% = 3557)
43 11:45 AM 2007 c(2.5% = 1182) c(97.5% = 2931)
44 11:45 AM 1593 c(2.5% = 1176) c(97.5% = 2047)
45 11:45 AM 2303 c(2.5% = 1482) c(97.5% = 2975)
46 11:45 AM 3016 c(2.5% = 2579) c(97.5% = 3504)
47 11:45 AM 975 c(2.5% = 714) c(97.5% = 1228)
48 11:45 AM 2297 c(2.5% = 1656) c(97.5% = 2842)
49 11:45 AM 2874 c(2.5% = 2141) c(97.5% = 3700)
50 11:45 AM 3997 c(2.5% = 3452) c(97.5% = 4654)
51 11:45 AM 2574 c(2.5% = 1971) c(97.5% = 3306)
52 11:45 AM 3171 c(2.5% = 2616) c(97.5% = 3772)
53 11:45 AM 2288 c(2.5% = 1464) c(97.5% = 3007)
54 11:45 AM 1660 c(2.5% = 892) c(97.5% = 2306)
55 11:45 AM 2642 c(2.5% = 1664) c(97.5% = 3490)
56 11:45 AM 3857 c(2.5% = 2589) c(97.5% = 4867)
57 11:45 AM 3349 c(2.5% = 2276) c(97.5% = 4148)
58 11:45 AM 5620 c(2.5% = 3781) c(97.5% = 6998)
59 11:45 AM 2772 c(2.5% = 2149) c(97.5% = 3393)
60 11:45 AM 2202 c(2.5% = 1698) c(97.5% = 2718)
61 11:45 AM 3409 c(2.5% = 2484) c(97.5% = 4300)
62 11:45 AM 2474 c(2.5% = 1477) c(97.5% = 3367)
63 11:45 AM 3177 c(2.5% = 2371) c(97.5% = 3869)
64 11:45 AM 1795 c(2.5% = 1192) c(97.5% = 2316)
65 11:45 AM 2615 c(2.5% = 1849) c(97.5% = 3236)
66 11:45 AM 5562 c(2.5% = 3935) c(97.5% = 6834)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions