Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 11:45 AM, 193 voters in 26 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 185,727 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 142,708 - 227,000). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 11:45 AM | 2554 |
c(2.5% = 2179)
|
c(97.5% = 2760)
|
| 02 | 11:45 AM | 4230 |
c(2.5% = 3620)
|
c(97.5% = 4509)
|
| 03 | 11:45 AM | 2363 |
c(2.5% = 1785)
|
c(97.5% = 2923)
|
| 04 | 11:45 AM | 2368 |
c(2.5% = 1752)
|
c(97.5% = 3045)
|
| 05 | 11:45 AM | 6250 |
c(2.5% = 5028)
|
c(97.5% = 6771)
|
| 06 | 11:45 AM | 1599 |
c(2.5% = 1270)
|
c(97.5% = 1955)
|
| 07 | 11:45 AM | 1599 |
c(2.5% = 766)
|
c(97.5% = 2609)
|
| 08 | 11:45 AM | 5747 |
c(2.5% = 4820)
|
c(97.5% = 6303)
|
| 09 | 11:45 AM | 2735 |
c(2.5% = 2336)
|
c(97.5% = 3118)
|
| 10 | 11:45 AM | 3419 |
c(2.5% = 2694)
|
c(97.5% = 4198)
|
| 11 | 11:45 AM | 1502 |
c(2.5% = 1094)
|
c(97.5% = 1968)
|
| 12 | 11:45 AM | 2589 |
c(2.5% = 1973)
|
c(97.5% = 3251)
|
| 13 | 11:45 AM | 2332 |
c(2.5% = 1749)
|
c(97.5% = 2974)
|
| 14 | 11:45 AM | 1031 |
c(2.5% = 832)
|
c(97.5% = 1232)
|
| 15 | 11:45 AM | 3008 |
c(2.5% = 2583)
|
c(97.5% = 3411)
|
| 16 | 11:45 AM | 1261 |
c(2.5% = 871)
|
c(97.5% = 1701)
|
| 17 | 11:45 AM | 2863 |
c(2.5% = 2143)
|
c(97.5% = 3601)
|
| 18 | 11:45 AM | 2557 |
c(2.5% = 1967)
|
c(97.5% = 2945)
|
| 19 | 11:45 AM | 1188 |
c(2.5% = 673)
|
c(97.5% = 1806)
|
| 20 | 11:45 AM | 1186 |
c(2.5% = 760)
|
c(97.5% = 1607)
|
| 21 | 11:45 AM | 6789 |
c(2.5% = 5218)
|
c(97.5% = 8114)
|
| 22 | 11:45 AM | 3645 |
c(2.5% = 3116)
|
c(97.5% = 4136)
|
| 23 | 11:45 AM | 2199 |
c(2.5% = 1483)
|
c(97.5% = 2849)
|
| 24 | 11:45 AM | 1870 |
c(2.5% = 1313)
|
c(97.5% = 2315)
|
| 25 | 11:45 AM | 1826 |
c(2.5% = 1127)
|
c(97.5% = 2391)
|
| 26 | 11:45 AM | 2601 |
c(2.5% = 1995)
|
c(97.5% = 3051)
|
| 27 | 11:45 AM | 3423 |
c(2.5% = 2100)
|
c(97.5% = 4136)
|
| 28 | 11:45 AM | 1339 |
c(2.5% = 934)
|
c(97.5% = 1804)
|
| 29 | 11:45 AM | 1347 |
c(2.5% = 1066)
|
c(97.5% = 1632)
|
| 30 | 11:45 AM | 2700 |
c(2.5% = 2375)
|
c(97.5% = 2946)
|
| 31 | 11:45 AM | 2290 |
c(2.5% = 1792)
|
c(97.5% = 2487)
|
| 32 | 11:45 AM | 2233 |
c(2.5% = 1543)
|
c(97.5% = 2985)
|
| 33 | 11:45 AM | 1884 |
c(2.5% = 957)
|
c(97.5% = 2862)
|
| 34 | 11:45 AM | 4914 |
c(2.5% = 3927)
|
c(97.5% = 5936)
|
| 35 | 11:45 AM | 3362 |
c(2.5% = 2178)
|
c(97.5% = 4352)
|
| 36 | 11:45 AM | 4023 |
c(2.5% = 3259)
|
c(97.5% = 4760)
|
| 37 | 11:45 AM | 1438 |
c(2.5% = 965)
|
c(97.5% = 1968)
|
| 38 | 11:45 AM | 2468 |
c(2.5% = 1989)
|
c(97.5% = 2944)
|
| 39 | 11:45 AM | 5014 |
c(2.5% = 3796)
|
c(97.5% = 5866)
|
| 40 | 11:45 AM | 5141 |
c(2.5% = 3703)
|
c(97.5% = 6433)
|
| 41 | 11:45 AM | 2028 |
c(2.5% = 1233)
|
c(97.5% = 2691)
|
| 42 | 11:45 AM | 2584 |
c(2.5% = 1605)
|
c(97.5% = 3557)
|
| 43 | 11:45 AM | 2007 |
c(2.5% = 1182)
|
c(97.5% = 2931)
|
| 44 | 11:45 AM | 1593 |
c(2.5% = 1176)
|
c(97.5% = 2047)
|
| 45 | 11:45 AM | 2303 |
c(2.5% = 1482)
|
c(97.5% = 2975)
|
| 46 | 11:45 AM | 3016 |
c(2.5% = 2579)
|
c(97.5% = 3504)
|
| 47 | 11:45 AM | 975 |
c(2.5% = 714)
|
c(97.5% = 1228)
|
| 48 | 11:45 AM | 2297 |
c(2.5% = 1656)
|
c(97.5% = 2842)
|
| 49 | 11:45 AM | 2874 |
c(2.5% = 2141)
|
c(97.5% = 3700)
|
| 50 | 11:45 AM | 3997 |
c(2.5% = 3452)
|
c(97.5% = 4654)
|
| 51 | 11:45 AM | 2574 |
c(2.5% = 1971)
|
c(97.5% = 3306)
|
| 52 | 11:45 AM | 3171 |
c(2.5% = 2616)
|
c(97.5% = 3772)
|
| 53 | 11:45 AM | 2288 |
c(2.5% = 1464)
|
c(97.5% = 3007)
|
| 54 | 11:45 AM | 1660 |
c(2.5% = 892)
|
c(97.5% = 2306)
|
| 55 | 11:45 AM | 2642 |
c(2.5% = 1664)
|
c(97.5% = 3490)
|
| 56 | 11:45 AM | 3857 |
c(2.5% = 2589)
|
c(97.5% = 4867)
|
| 57 | 11:45 AM | 3349 |
c(2.5% = 2276)
|
c(97.5% = 4148)
|
| 58 | 11:45 AM | 5620 |
c(2.5% = 3781)
|
c(97.5% = 6998)
|
| 59 | 11:45 AM | 2772 |
c(2.5% = 2149)
|
c(97.5% = 3393)
|
| 60 | 11:45 AM | 2202 |
c(2.5% = 1698)
|
c(97.5% = 2718)
|
| 61 | 11:45 AM | 3409 |
c(2.5% = 2484)
|
c(97.5% = 4300)
|
| 62 | 11:45 AM | 2474 |
c(2.5% = 1477)
|
c(97.5% = 3367)
|
| 63 | 11:45 AM | 3177 |
c(2.5% = 2371)
|
c(97.5% = 3869)
|
| 64 | 11:45 AM | 1795 |
c(2.5% = 1192)
|
c(97.5% = 2316)
|
| 65 | 11:45 AM | 2615 |
c(2.5% = 1849)
|
c(97.5% = 3236)
|
| 66 | 11:45 AM | 5562 |
c(2.5% = 3935)
|
c(97.5% = 6834)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions